Reaching the public: How direct central bank communication anchors citizens’ inflation expectations by Alexander Jung, Francesco Paolo Mongelli published by VOXEU (9/2025)  While the inflation expectations of professional forecasters and firms are well anchored around inflation targets, the inflation expectations…

In Money, We Survive: The Effects of Social Security Retirement Income on Longevity by Hamid Noghanibehambari and Jason Fletcher published by NBER (9/2025). An old and debated line of research examines the income-mortality relationship and finds mixed evidence. In…

Tradeoffs over Rate Cycles: Activity, Inflation and the Price Level by Kristin Forbes, Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose published by NBER (5/2025). Central banks often face tradeoffs in how their monetary policy decisions impact economic activity (including employment), inflation and the…

Which Individuals Create Jobs? Managerial Talent and Occupational Skills by Marc-Andreas Muendler, James E. Rauch, and Sergio Mikio Koyama published by NBER (8/2025). We consider founders of limited liability firms who previously held jobs in the formal sector of…