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Public Debt Dynamics (Cherif & Hasanov)

Public debt dynamics: the effects of austerity, inflation, and growth shocks by Reda Cherif and Fuad Hasanov published by IMF (9/2012). “…An inflation shock only slightly reduces the debt ratio for a few quartes. A positive growth shock unambiguously lowers debt. In our specification, the debt ratio is stationary, whereas a VAR excluding debt may imply an explosive debt path.”

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