Health effects of the Brazilian Conditional Cash Transfer programme over 20 years and projections to 2030: a retrospective analysis and modelling study by Daniella Medeiros Cavalcanti, José Alejandro Ordoñez, Andrea Ferreira da Silva, Elisa Landin Basterra, Ana L Moncayo, Carlos Chivardi, Philipp Hessel, Alberto Pietro Sironi, Rômulo Paes de Sousa, Tereza Campello, Luis Eugênio Souza, Davide Rasella published by The Lancet Public Health (6/2025).
Background In 2024, Brazil celebrated the 20th anniversary of the Bolsa Família Program (BFP), one of the world’s oldest and largest conditional cash transfer (CCT) programmes, covering more than 50 million Brazilians. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of the BFP on overall mortality and hospitalisation rates over the past two decades, and to forecast the potential effects of expanding this programme until 2030.
