Behavior and the dynamic of epidemics by Andrew G. Atkeson published by Brookings (3/2021)
“Behavior importantly shaped the course of the COVID-19 pandemic, suggesting lessons for mitigating the impact of future infectious disease outbreaks, according to a paper presented at the Brookings Papers on Economic Activity conference on March 25.
In Behavior and the dynamics of epidemics, Andrew Atkeson of the University of California-Los Angeles uses a simple model to project U.S. deaths under various scenarios. The exercise suggests epidemiologists likely were correct early on when they forecast the pandemic “will not resolve until high proportions of the population have acquired immunity either through infection or vaccination,” he writes…”