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Tradeoffs over Rate Cycles: Activity, Inflation and the Price Level by Kristin Forbes, Jongrim Ha, M. Ayhan Kose published by NBER (5/2025). Central banks often face tradeoffs in how their monetary policy decisions impact economic activity (including employment), inflation and the…

Developing economy debt after the pandemic by M. Ayhan Kose, Franziska Ohnsorge, Carmen Reinhart, Kenneth Rogoff published by VOXEU (11/2021) Global government debt soared in last year’s pandemic-induced global recession. It may now be tempting to rely on the post-pandemic…

Under the cloud of cycles: Linkages between fiscal multipliers and positions by Raju Huidrom, M. Ayhan Kose and Franziska Ohnsorge published by VOXEU (8/2016). “Fiscal multipliers tend to be larger when the fiscal position of governments is stronger. This…