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Predicting fiscal crises by Svetlana Cerovic, Kerstin Gerling, Andrew Hodge, and Paulo Medas published by IMF, indicated by Alvaro Manoel (8/2018). “This paper identifies leading indicators of fiscal crises based on a large sample of countries at different stage…

Fiscal crises by Kerstin Gerling, Paulo Medas, Tigran Poghosyan, Juan Farah-Yacoub, and Yizhi Xu published by IMF (2017). “A key objective of fiscal policy is to maintain the sustainability of public finances and avoid crises. Remarkably, there is very…