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Rollover risks (Baldacci, McHugh and Petrova)

Meassuring fiscal vulnerability and fiscal stress: a proposed set of indicators by Emanuele Baldacci, James McHugh and Iva Petrova. This paper, indicated by Alvaro Manoel, proposes a set of fiscal indicators to assess rollover risks using the conceptual framework developed by Cottarelli (2011). Results show that both indices are elevated for advanced economies, reflecting unfavorable medium-term debt dynamics and aging-related spending pressures.

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