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Os desafios do desenvolvimento e o futuro da regulação estatal por Por Gilmar Ferreira Mendes, José Roberto R. Afonso, Atalá Correia e Victor Oliveira Fernandes publicado por Consultor Jurídico (3/2022). “Retomar o desenvolvimento já era um grande desafio para o Brasil com a economia em ritmo desacelerado, antes da chegada da Covid-19. Essa tarefa se deparava com os avanços da revolução digital, que exige novos …
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Perspectivas fiscais para a década: dilemas e escolhas por Fabio Giambiagi e Manoel Pires publicado por FGV (3/2022). Este artigo debate alternativas de política fiscal, que giram em torno da possibilidade de substituição da chamada “regra do teto”, a ser proposta em 2023, no começo da próxima gestão, para vigorar de 2024 em diante, no contexto de um arranjo que …
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Comparative Federalism and Covid-19: Combating the Pandemic by Nico Steytler published by Routledge (2021). "This comprehensive scholarly book on comparative federalism and the Covid-19 pandemic is written by some of the world’s leading federal scholars and national experts. The Covid-19 pandemic presented an unprecedented emergency for countries worldwide, including all those with a federal or hybrid-federal system of government, which …
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The economic policy consequences of the war by Jean Pisani Ferry published by Bruegel (3/2022). "The Ukraine war will have significant economic policy consequences for the European Union and its members, arising from the adverse supply shock triggered by the rise in oil and gas prices, energy independence measures, the inflow of refugees and boosted defence spending. Their direct budgetary …
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Is Piketty’s ‘Second Law of Capitalism’ fundamental? by Per Krusell, Tony Smith published by VOXEU (6/2014). Thomas Piketty’s new book has been widely praised for its empirical contribution, but his prediction of rising inequality rests on economic theory. This column argues that Piketty’s pessimistic forecast is based on an extreme – and unrealistic – assumption about households’ saving behaviour. According to …
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A proposal for a central fiscal capacity for the EMU targeting euro area, national, and regional shocks by Roel Beetsma, Jacopo Cimadomo, Josha van Spronsen published by VOXEU (3/2022). The global crisis and Covid-19 pandemic highlighted the limitations of the European Economic and Monetary Union, particularly the lack of a fiscal union for cross-border risk sharing. This column proposes a …
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OECD Economic Surveys: China 2019 China’s growth continues to slow, but it is still high by international standards and contributes about a quarter of global growth. The growth model based on capital accumulation has led to misallocation of capital and excess capacity in a number of industries as well as falling investment efficiency, dictating a slower pace for investment. The …
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1º Seminário sobre Política Monetária apresentação realizada por José Júlio Senna (2015). “Debt Overhang Trata das consequências recessivas de aumento concentrado do endividamento em período imediatamente anterior. Pesquisas sobre isso já na década de 1930. Interesse renovado nos anos 90 (recessões prolongadas). Caso do Japão. Foco na dívida apareceu mais tarde. Novo impulso com a Grande Recessão. Ponto importante: recuperação …
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A Simple Method to Compute Fiscal Multipliers by Nicoletta Batini, Luc Eyraud, and Anke Weber published by IMF (6/2014). Fiscal multipliers are important tools for macroeconomic projections and policy design. In many countries, little is known about the size of multipliers, as data availability limits the scope for empirical research. For these countries, we propose a simple method—dubbed the “bucket …
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The Composition of Government Spending and the Real Exchange Rate by Vahagn Galstyan and Philip R. Lane published by IIIS (7/2008). We show that the composition of government spending influences the long-run behaviour of the real exchange rate. We develop a two-sector small open economy model in which an increase in government consumption is associated with real appreciation, while an …
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